Almeria vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almeria vs Sporting Gijon?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,099 vs 1,996).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almeria vs Sporting Gijon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 22D. Chirino
- 2Marcos Luna
- 15Leonardo Lelo
- 1Andrés Fernández
Sporting Gijon
4-4-2- 27Enol Prendes
- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 4E. Gularte
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almeria wins, 2 draws, 1 Sporting Gijon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 3-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Almeria 2-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 1-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Almeria 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Almeria 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 2, 2021 | Sporting Gijon 0-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijon vs Almeria on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almeria score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almeria sit 1st in Segunda División (24 points from 10 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
A question about Almeria vs Sporting Gijon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Almeria vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Almeria vs Sporting Gijon is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.