Granada II vs Malaga City: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, Granada
The Footlab model makes Granada II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada II vs Malaga City?
Granada II starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 4, 2025 | Polideportivo Almería(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 1, 2025 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mancha Real(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Malaga City | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Granada II | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada II vs Malaga City?
- The Footlab model makes Granada II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Malaga City.
- Where and when is Granada II vs Malaga City played?
- Granada II vs Malaga City is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026MelillavsMancha Real
- Dec 20, 2026Atlético PorcunavsAtletico de Marbella
- Dec 20, 2026Almería IIvsTorre del Mar
- Dec 20, 2026MotrilvsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Dec 20, 2026Málaga IIvsAlhaurino
- Dec 20, 2026MarbellivsArenas Armilla
- Dec 20, 2026Churriana VegavsHuétor Vega
- Dec 20, 2026CantoriavsUD San Pedro