Match

Granada II vs Malaga City: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, Granada

Granada IIMalaga City

The Footlab model makes Granada II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Granada II vs Malaga City?

Granada II starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,593).

Granada II win59 %
Draw23 %
Malaga City win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Granada II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Mijas Las Lagunas(home)4-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Marbelli(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Mancha Real(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 18, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026Churriana Vega(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Malaga City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Arenas Armilla(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 4, 2025Polideportivo Almería(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 1, 2025Real Jaén(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 27, 2025Mancha Real(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2025Mijas Las Lagunas(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

How many goals should we expect?

Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Granada II1.71.7211/159/15
Malaga City1.02.008/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Granada II34101410494744

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Granada II vs Malaga City?
The Footlab model makes Granada II the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Malaga City.
Where and when is Granada II vs Malaga City played?
Granada II vs Malaga City is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Granada II and Malaga City

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