Granville vs Tarbes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis-Dior, Granville
The Footlab model makes Granville the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Tarbes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granville vs Tarbes?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Granville (1,692) and Tarbes (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granville have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Tarbes have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayonne(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Blagnac(away) | 2-1 | National 3 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Onet-le-Château(home) | 6-1 | National 3 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lège-Cap-Ferret(home) | 4-4 | National 3 - Group A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pau II(away) | 1-0 | National 3 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Granville score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tarbes score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granville | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Tarbes | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granville sit 13th in National 2 - Group B (0 points from 1 matches) and Tarbes sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tarbes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Granville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granville vs Tarbes?
- The Footlab model makes Granville the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Tarbes.
- Where and when is Granville vs Tarbes played?
- Granville vs Tarbes is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis-Dior, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.