Saumur vs Chauray: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
The Footlab AI model makes Saumur the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Chauray. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saumur wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saumur vs Chauray?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Saumur (1,656) and Chauray (1,685).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saumur vs Chauray
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saumur
Not enough data to predict the Saumur lineup.
Chauray
Not enough data to predict the Chauray lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saumur have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Chauray have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Les Herbiers(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Saumur wins, 1 draw, 1 Chauray win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Saumur 1-3 Chauray | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Chauray 3-3 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Saumur score 0.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chauray score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saumur | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Chauray | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saumur sit 13th in National 2 - Group B (4 points from 6 matches) and Chauray sit 16th (1 point from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Saumur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Chauray | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
A question about Saumur vs Chauray?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saumur vs Chauray?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saumur the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Chauray.
- Where and when is Saumur vs Chauray played?
- Saumur vs Chauray is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Rives du Thouet, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.