Saumur vs Chauray: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
The Footlab model makes Chauray the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saumur vs Chauray?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Saumur (1,629) and Chauray (1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saumur have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Chauray have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Montlouis(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Granville(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Poitiers(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Saumur win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chauray win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Saumur 1-3 Chauray | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Chauray 3-3 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Saumur score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chauray score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saumur | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Chauray | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saumur sit 10th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Chauray sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Saumur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Chauray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saumur vs Chauray?
- The Footlab model makes Chauray the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Saumur vs Chauray played?
- Saumur vs Chauray is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Rives du Thouet, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.