Lorient II vs Avranches: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Charter 1, Quimperle
The Footlab model makes Lorient II the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Avranches. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient II vs Avranches?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Lorient II (1,724) and Avranches (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Avranches have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chauray(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Poitiers(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bordeaux(home) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Granville(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lorient II win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Avranches win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lorient II 2-4 Avranches | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Avranches 1-2 Lorient II | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Lorient II 0-2 Avranches | National 2 - Group D |
| Nov 30, 2012 | Avranches 4-0 Lorient II | National 2 - Group D |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Avranches 5-2 Lorient II | National 2 - Group D |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Lorient II 0-1 Avranches | National 2 - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Lorient II vs Avranches on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient II score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Avranches score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient II | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Avranches | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient II sit 3rd in National 2 - Group B (3 points from 1 matches) and Avranches sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avranches | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Lorient II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient II vs Avranches?
- The Footlab model makes Lorient II the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Avranches.
- Where and when is Lorient II vs Avranches played?
- Lorient II vs Avranches is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Charter 1, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.