Grassina vs Flaminia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio di Grassina, Bagno a Ripoli
The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Flaminia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grassina vs Flaminia?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Grassina (1,780) and Flaminia (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grassina have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Flaminia have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | Aglianese(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Gavorrano(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Flaminia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Cannara(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Scandicci(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Monastir(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 3, 2026 | Montespaccato(away) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Grassina win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Flaminia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | Grassina 2-0 Flaminia | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Flaminia 1-0 Grassina | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Flaminia score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassina | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Flaminia | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grassina vs Flaminia?
- The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Flaminia.
- Where and when is Grassina vs Flaminia played?
- Grassina vs Flaminia is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Grassina, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026TernanavsGavorrano
- Sep 13, 2026Robur SienavsMezzolara
- Sep 13, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsTerranuova Traiana
- Sep 13, 2026SeravezzavsLucchese
- Sep 13, 2026Sasso Marconi ZolavsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Sep 13, 2026Montevarchi CalciovsTau Altopascio
- Sep 13, 2026ProgressovsScandicci
- Sep 13, 2026RondinellavsPrato