Match

Seravezza vs Lucchese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, Pozzi Seravezza

SeravezzaLucchese

The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Lucchese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Seravezza vs Lucchese?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Seravezza (1,779) and Lucchese (1,736).

Seravezza win47 %
Draw29 %
Lucchese win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seravezza have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Lucchese have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Seravezza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Pistoiese(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Prato(away)2-1Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026Tau Altopascio(away)2-0Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Foligno Calcio(home)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2025Sestri Levante(home)1-0Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
May 10, 2025Sestri Levante(away)1-2Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025Torres(home)3-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 23, 2025Arezzo(away)1-4Serie C - Girone B
Apr 13, 2025Vis Pesaro(home)1-0Serie C - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Seravezza win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lucchese win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 17, 2019Seravezza 2-2 LuccheseSerie D - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Seravezza vs Lucchese on Nov 17, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Seravezza1.10.958/154/15
Lucchese1.71.6411/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Seravezza3415127422957

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Seravezza vs Lucchese?
The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Lucchese.
Where and when is Seravezza vs Lucchese played?
Seravezza vs Lucchese is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Seravezza and Lucchese

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