Seravezza vs Lucchese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, Pozzi Seravezza
The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Lucchese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seravezza vs Lucchese?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Seravezza (1,779) and Lucchese (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seravezza have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Lucchese have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2025 | Sestri Levante(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Torres(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Arezzo(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Seravezza win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lucchese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2019 | Seravezza 2-2 Lucchese | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Seravezza vs Lucchese on Nov 17, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seravezza | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Lucchese | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Seravezza | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seravezza vs Lucchese?
- The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Lucchese.
- Where and when is Seravezza vs Lucchese played?
- Seravezza vs Lucchese is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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