Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Merkur Arena, Graz
The Footlab model makes Grazer AK the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Austria Vienna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna?
Austria Vienna starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grazer AK have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Austria Vienna have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ried(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 0-8 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Grazer AK win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Austria Vienna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Austria Vienna 2-0 Grazer AK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Austria Vienna 2-1 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Grazer AK 2-2 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Grazer AK 1-2 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Austria Vienna 2-1 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Feb 15, 2019 | Grazer AK 2-1 Austria Vienna | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Austria Vienna vs Grazer AK on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grazer AK score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Austria Vienna score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Austria Vienna | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grazer AK sit 11th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Austria Vienna sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Austria Vienna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna?
- The Footlab model makes Grazer AK the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Austria Vienna.
- Where and when is Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna played?
- Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Merkur Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.