Ried vs Wolfsberger AC: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis
The Footlab model makes Ried the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Wolfsberger AC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Ried (1,916) and Wolfsberger AC (1,975).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ried have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Wolfsberger AC have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 1-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Dornbirn(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lauterach(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Velden(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ried win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wolfsberger AC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Ried 2-1 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| May 9, 2026 | Ried 0-1 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC 0-0 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Ried 1-0 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Wolfsberger AC 1-2 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Ried 1-2 Wolfsberger AC | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ried vs Wolfsberger AC on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ried score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Wolfsberger AC score 2.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Wolfsberger AC | 2.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ried sit 7th in Bundesliga (4 points from 4 matches) and Wolfsberger AC sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Ried | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?
- The Footlab model makes Ried the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Wolfsberger AC.
- Where and when is Ried vs Wolfsberger AC played?
- Ried vs Wolfsberger AC is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Innviertel Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.