TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)PROfertil ARENA, Hartberg
The Footlab model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for TSV Hartberg. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz?
Lask Linz starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (2,115 vs 1,948).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Hartberg have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Lask Linz have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Imst(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ried(home) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kalsdorf(away) | 7-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 TSV Hartberg win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Lask Linz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | TSV Hartberg 1-5 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Lask Linz 0-0 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Dec 6, 2025 | TSV Hartberg 2-2 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Lask Linz 3-3 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| May 26, 2025 | Lask Linz 2-0 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| May 10, 2025 | Lask Linz 0-0 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TSV Hartberg score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lask Linz score 2.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Hartberg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lask Linz | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV Hartberg sit 10th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Lask Linz sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | TSV Hartberg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz?
- The Footlab model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for TSV Hartberg.
- Where and when is TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz played?
- TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at PROfertil ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.