Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab AI model makes Green Buffaloes the favourite at 61%, against 27% for a draw and 12% for Mutondo Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,153 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars?
On Elo ratings, Green Buffaloes has 1,511 points and Mutondo Stars 1,422.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Green Buffaloes
Not enough data to predict the Green Buffaloes lineup.
Mutondo Stars
Not enough data to predict the Mutondo Stars lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 11:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Green Buffaloes have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Mutondo Stars have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nkwazi(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roan United(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Roan United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ZESCO United(away) | 0-5 | Super League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Chirundu Utd(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Green Buffaloes wins, 3 draws, 1 Mutondo Stars win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Green Buffaloes 1-1 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 0-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Green Buffaloes 1-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Mutondo Stars 1-4 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Mutondo Stars 3-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Green Buffaloes 0-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Green Buffaloes score 0.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Buffaloes | 0.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 2/15 | 1/15 |
| Mutondo Stars | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Green Buffaloes sit 12th in Super League (41 points from 34 matches) and Mutondo Stars sit 16th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Green Buffaloes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 41 |
| 16 | Mutondo Stars | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 35 |
A question about Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars?
- The Footlab AI model makes Green Buffaloes the favourite at 61%, against 27% for a draw and 12% for Mutondo Stars.
- Where and when is Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars played?
- Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars is played on December 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.