Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes Green Buffaloes the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Mutondo Stars. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Green Buffaloes (1,511) and Mutondo Stars (1,494).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Green Buffaloes have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Mutondo Stars have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mines(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Green Buffaloes win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Mutondo Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Green Buffaloes 1-1 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 0-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Green Buffaloes 1-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Mutondo Stars 1-4 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Mutondo Stars 3-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Green Buffaloes 0-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Green Buffaloes score 0.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Buffaloes | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Mutondo Stars | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Green Buffaloes sit 12th in Super League (41 points from 34 matches) and Mutondo Stars sit 16th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Green Buffaloes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 41 |
| 16 | Mutondo Stars | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Green Buffaloes the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Mutondo Stars.
- Where and when is Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars played?
- Green Buffaloes vs Mutondo Stars is played on December 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.