Where and when is Nkwazi vs Green Buffaloes played?

Nkwazi vs Green Buffaloes is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nkwazi vs Green Buffaloes: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka

Nkwazi

Green Buffaloes

The Footlab model makes Nkwazi the favourite at 42%, against 35% for a draw and 23% for Green Buffaloes. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nkwazi vs Green Buffaloes?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Nkwazi (1,531) and Green Buffaloes (1,510).

Nkwazi win42 %

Draw35 %

Green Buffaloes win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkwazi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Green Buffaloes have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nkwazi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Prison Leopards(away)	0-1	Super League
May 20, 2026	Man Utd Zambia Academy(away)	1-0	Super League
May 17, 2026	Kansanshi Dynamos(home)	1-0	Super League
May 3, 2026	ZESCO United(home)	1-1	Super League
Apr 29, 2026	Nchanga Rangers(away)	0-1	Super League

Green Buffaloes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Red Arrows(away)	0-2	Super League
May 17, 2026	Prison Leopards(away)	0-1	Super League
May 13, 2026	Mufulira Wanderers(home)	1-0	Super League
May 2, 2026	Kansanshi Dynamos(away)	0-1	Super League
Apr 29, 2026	Green Eagles(home)	1-0	Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nkwazi win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Green Buffaloes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 7, 2026	Green Buffaloes 0-0 Nkwazi	Super League
Aug 17, 2025	Nkwazi 1-2 Green Buffaloes	Super League
Apr 2, 2025	Nkwazi 2-0 Green Buffaloes	Super League
Nov 27, 2024	Green Buffaloes 1-2 Nkwazi	Super League
Feb 17, 2024	Nkwazi 2-1 Green Buffaloes	Super League
Sep 16, 2023	Green Buffaloes 0-0 Nkwazi	Super League

Last archived meeting: Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Green Buffaloes score 0.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nkwazi	0.6	0.9	5	4/15	2/15
Green Buffaloes	0.5	1.0	4	5/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nkwazi sit 14th in Super League (37 points from 34 matches) and Green Buffaloes sit 12th (41 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Green Buffaloes	34	9	14	11	27	34	41
14	Nkwazi	34	8	13	13	21	28	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nkwazi vs Green Buffaloes?: The Footlab model makes Nkwazi the favourite at 42%, against 35% for a draw and 23% for Green Buffaloes.
Where and when is Nkwazi vs Green Buffaloes played?: Nkwazi vs Green Buffaloes is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.