Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes Nkwazi the favourite at 40%, against 38% for a draw and 23% for Mufulira Wanderers. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Nkwazi (1,531) and Mufulira Wanderers (1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkwazi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mufulira Wanderers have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nkwazi win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Mufulira Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Nkwazi 1-1 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Mufulira Wanderers 1-1 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Mufulira Wanderers 2-1 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Nkwazi 2-1 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
| May 15, 2024 | Nkwazi 0-1 Mufulira Wanderers | Super League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Mufulira Wanderers 1-1 Nkwazi | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mufulira Wanderers score 0.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 19% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nkwazi | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Mufulira Wanderers | 0.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 3/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nkwazi sit 14th in Super League (37 points from 34 matches) and Mufulira Wanderers sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mufulira Wanderers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 49 |
| 14 | Nkwazi | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 28 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Nkwazi the favourite at 40%, against 38% for a draw and 23% for Mufulira Wanderers.
- Where and when is Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers played?
- Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 19% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 9, 2026Kabwe WarriorsvsChirundu Utd
- Dec 9, 2026Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsKonkola Blades
- Dec 9, 2026NkanavsNAPSA Stars
- Dec 9, 2026Red ArrowsvsGreen Eagles
- Dec 9, 2026ZESCO UnitedvsRoan United
- Dec 9, 2026ZanacovsMakeni All Stars
- Dec 9, 2026TridentvsNchanga Rangers
- Dec 10, 2026Green BuffaloesvsMutondo Stars