Match

Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka

NkwaziMufulira Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Nkwazi the favourite at 40%, against 38% for a draw and 23% for Mufulira Wanderers. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Nkwazi (1,531) and Mufulira Wanderers (1,523).

Nkwazi win40 %
Draw38 %
Mufulira Wanderers win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkwazi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mufulira Wanderers have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nkwazi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Prison Leopards(away)0-1Super League
May 20, 2026Man Utd Zambia Academy(away)1-0Super League
May 17, 2026Kansanshi Dynamos(home)1-0Super League
May 3, 2026ZESCO United(home)1-1Super League
Apr 29, 2026Nchanga Rangers(away)0-1Super League
Mufulira Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Power Dynamos(away)0-2Super League
May 17, 2026Red Arrows(home)0-0Super League
May 13, 2026Green Buffaloes(away)0-1Super League
May 3, 2026Green Eagles(away)0-2Super League
Apr 29, 2026Mutondo Stars(home)1-0Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nkwazi win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Mufulira Wanderers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Nkwazi 1-1 Mufulira WanderersSuper League
Oct 17, 2025Mufulira Wanderers 1-1 NkwaziSuper League
Feb 22, 2025Mufulira Wanderers 2-1 NkwaziSuper League
Oct 19, 2024Nkwazi 2-1 Mufulira WanderersSuper League
May 15, 2024Nkwazi 0-1 Mufulira WanderersSuper League
Dec 2, 2023Mufulira Wanderers 1-1 NkwaziSuper League

Last archived meeting: Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mufulira Wanderers score 0.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 19% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nkwazi0.60.954/152/15
Mufulira Wanderers0.61.053/151/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nkwazi sit 14th in Super League (37 points from 34 matches) and Mufulira Wanderers sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mufulira Wanderers3414713222549
14Nkwazi3481313212837

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers?
The Footlab model makes Nkwazi the favourite at 40%, against 38% for a draw and 23% for Mufulira Wanderers.
Where and when is Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers played?
Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 19% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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