Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder: result 3-1 and analysis
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 21Kick-off on July 17, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne
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What was the result of Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder?
Green Gully won 3-1 on July 17, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′573988Green Gully
- 24′666670Green Gully
- 53′643789Dandenong Thunder
- 84′565245Green Gully
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Green Gully have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Dandenong Thunder have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | Altona Magic(home) | 1-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Bentleigh Greens(home) | 3-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 28, 2026 | South Melbourne(away) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Hume City(away) | 2-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Avondale(home) | 0-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Bentleigh Greens(home) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 5, 2026 | South Melbourne(away) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Hume City(home) | 1-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Avondale(away) | 0-11 | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sunshine Georgies(home) | 2-3 | Victoria NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Green Gully win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Dandenong Thunder win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Dandenong Thunder 1-1 Green Gully | Victoria NPL |
| May 16, 2025 | Green Gully 3-1 Dandenong Thunder | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Dandenong Thunder 2-0 Green Gully | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Dandenong Thunder 1-1 Green Gully | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Green Gully 1-1 Dandenong Thunder | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Dandenong Thunder 1-0 Green Gully | Victoria NPL |
Last archived meeting: Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Green Gully score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dandenong Thunder score 1.3 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Gully | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dandenong Thunder | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Green Gully sit 13th in Victoria NPL (15 points from 25 matches) and Dandenong Thunder sit 14th (15 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Green Gully | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 51 | 15 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 59 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy