Where and when is Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha played?

Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Paladin Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Paladin Stadium, Greenville, South Carolina

Greenville Triumph

Union Omaha

The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Greenville Triumph. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha?

Union Omaha starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,624).

Greenville Triumph win23 %

Draw23 %

Union Omaha win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greenville Triumph have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Union Omaha have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Greenville Triumph
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	One Knoxville(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	0-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	3-3	USL League One

Union Omaha
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Richmond Kickers(home)	5-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Fort Wayne(away)	2-0	USL League One
Jul 22, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(away)	2-1	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Greenville Triumph win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Union Omaha win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Union Omaha 2-0 Greenville Triumph	USL League One
Oct 11, 2025	Greenville Triumph 0-0 Union Omaha	USL League One
Jun 13, 2025	Union Omaha 1-0 Greenville Triumph	USL League One
Mar 12, 2025	Greenville Triumph 3-0 Union Omaha	USL League One
Nov 9, 2024	Union Omaha 2-1 Greenville Triumph	USL League One
Sep 8, 2024	Union Omaha 3-1 Greenville Triumph	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Greenville Triumph score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Union Omaha score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Greenville Triumph	1.1	1.6	2	8/15	9/15
Union Omaha	2.1	1.3	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Greenville Triumph sit 15th in USL League One (20 points from 21 matches) and Union Omaha sit 1st (45 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	22	14	3	5	40	24	45
15	Greenville Triumph	21	5	5	11	23	35	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha?: The Footlab model makes Union Omaha the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Greenville Triumph.
Where and when is Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha played?: Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Paladin Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.