Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 10, 2014 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Gremio won 1-0 on September 10, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 90′H. BarcosGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2014 | Flamengo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Corinthians(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2014 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Criciuma(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2014 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Goias(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Bahia(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2014 | Santos(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Atletico Paranaense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2013 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2011 | Gremio 4-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2010 | Gremio 3-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio on Apr 20, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Paranaense score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd (41 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy