Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 2, 2013 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Gremio won 1-0 on October 2, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 44′C. RiverosGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2013 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Vitoria(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2013 | Santos(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2013 | Nautico Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2013 | Vitoria(home) | 3-5 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2013 | Flamengo(away) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2013 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2013 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atletico Paranaense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2013 | Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2011 | Gremio 4-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2010 | Gremio 3-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2010 | Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio on Jul 6, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Paranaense score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd (41 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy