Gremio vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 32Kick-off on November 4, 2023 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Bahia?
Gremio won 1-0 on November 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 70′L. SuárezGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bahia have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Coritiba(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2023 | America Mineiro(away) | 4-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Flamengo(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2023 | Fluminense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Internacional(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2023 | Gremio 1-1 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Bahia 1-1 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Bahia 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Gremio 1-1 Bahia | Serie B |
| Jul 3, 2022 | Bahia 0-0 Gremio | Serie B |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Bahia 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bahia | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy