Gremio vs Botafogo: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 14, 2012 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Botafogo?
Gremio and Botafogo drew 1-1 on October 14, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 51′Leonardo David de MouraGremio
- 90′Bruno MendesBotafogo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Botafogo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2012 | Sport Recife(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Santos(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2012 | Santos(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Fluminense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Bahia(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Corinthians(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Botafogo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2012 | Botafogo 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2011 | Gremio 0-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2011 | Botafogo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2010 | Botafogo 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Botafogo | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Botafogo sit 11th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy