Gremio vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on June 30, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Stédile, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio won 1-0 on June 30, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 61′Gustavo GomesGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fluminense have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2024 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Internacional(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Botafogo(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Flamengo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2024 | Vitoria(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Flamengo(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | Fluminense 2-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 10, 2021 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2021 | Fluminense 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Fluminense 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2020 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy