Gremio vs Fluminense: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on July 28, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio won 2-0 on July 28, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 51′C. RiverosGremio
- 85′Kléber Giacomace de Souza FreitasGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Fluminense have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2013 | Criciuma(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 14, 2013 | Botafogo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2013 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 9, 2013 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2013 | Internacional(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2013 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2013 | Portuguesa(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 7, 2013 | Coritiba(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2013 | Criciuma(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2012 | Fluminense 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2012 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 16, 2011 | Fluminense 5-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2011 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2010 | Fluminense 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2010 | Gremio 1-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy