Fluminense vs Gremio: result 2-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 17, 2012 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Fluminense and Gremio drew 2-2 on October 17, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 55′Elano Ralph BlumerGremio
- 59′Rodrigo Júnior Paula SilvaFluminense
- 63′Rafael Augusto Sóbis do NascimentoFluminense
- 86′José Roberto da Silva JúniorGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Gremio have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2012 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2012 | Bahia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2012 | Sport Recife(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Santos(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Fluminense win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2012 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 16, 2011 | Fluminense 5-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2011 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2010 | Fluminense 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2010 | Gremio 1-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy