Gremio vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 26, 2012 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio won 1-0 on July 26, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 69′Kléber Giacomace de Souza FreitasGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Fluminense have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2012 | Botafogo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Sport Recife(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Cruzeiro(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Santos(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2012 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2012 | Bahia(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Botafogo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Flamengo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Nautico Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2011 | Fluminense 5-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2011 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2010 | Fluminense 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2010 | Gremio 1-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 2.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fluminense | 2.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy