Gremio vs Fluminense: result 3-1 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil8th FinalsKick-off on May 18, 2017 at 12:45 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio won 3-1 on May 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 5′Renato ChávezFluminense
- 18′ArthurGremio
- 65′L. BarriosGremio
- 71′L. BarriosGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Fluminense have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2017 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 11, 2016 | Botafogo(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2016 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Santa Cruz(away) | 1-5 | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2016 | Atletico-MG(away) | 3-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2017 | Santos(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 20, 2017 | Goias(home) | 3-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Goias(away) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 15, 2017 | Criciuma(home) | 3-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 9, 2017 | Criciuma(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Gremio 0-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2016 | Fluminense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2015 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Aug 1, 2015 | Fluminense 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Fluminense 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy