Gremio vs Fluminense: result 4-5 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on May 5, 2019 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Fluminense won 4-5 on May 5, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 6′André FelipeGremio
- 13′EvertonGremio
- 22′Jean PyerreGremio
- 39′Y. GonzálezFluminense
- 41′LucianoFluminense
- 55′Matheus FerrazFluminense
- 72′PedroFluminense (pen.)
- 84′W. KannemannGremio
- 90′Y. GonzálezFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2019 | Avai(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Santos(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2019 | Libertad Asuncion(away) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 11, 2019 | Rosario Central(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 4, 2019 | U. Catolica(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2019 | Santos(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Goias(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2019 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 18, 2019 | Santa Cruz(home) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 10, 2019 | Luverdense(home) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Fluminense 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 31, 2018 | Gremio 0-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jun 16, 2017 | Fluminense 0-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 31, 2017 | Fluminense 0-2 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 18, 2017 | Gremio 3-1 Fluminense | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy