Gremio vs Sao Paulo: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 16, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio won 2-0 on October 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 39′Carlos ViníciusGremio
- 56′Carlos ViníciusGremio (pen.)
Official lineup for Gremio vs Sao Paulo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gremio
4-2-3-1- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 9F. Amuzu
- 8Edenílson
- 47Alysson Edward
- 29Arthur
- 17Dodi
- 25Lucas Esteves
- 3Wagner Leonardo
- 19E. Noriega
- 14Marcos Rocha
- 100Gabriel Grando
Sao Paulo
3-4-1-2- 14G. Tapia
- 10Luciano
- 15Rodriguinho
- 18Wendell
- 25Alisson
- 20Marcos Antônio
- 22Maílton
- 35Sabino
- 5R. Arboleda
- 28A. Franco
- 23Rafael
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Sao Paulo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Vitoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Internacional(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2025 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Santos(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio wins, 0 draws, 3 Sao Paulo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sao Paulo 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2021 | Gremio 3-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 17th in Serie A (37 points from 33 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 10th (43 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 43 |
| 17 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 44 | 37 |
A question about Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy