Gremio vs Vitoria: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 28, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Vitoria?
Gremio won 3-1 on September 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′André HenriqueGremio
- 49′Aitor CantalapiedraVitoria
- 67′F. AmuzuGremio
- 89′A. AravenaGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Vitoria have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Internacional(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 0-8 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Juventude(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Vitoria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Vitoria 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Vitoria 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Gremio 2-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2021 | Gremio 1-0 Vitoria | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 28, 2021 | Vitoria 0-3 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Vitoria 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vitoria score 0.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Vitoria | 0.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Vitoria sit 12th (29 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy