Bahia vs Palmeiras: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 28, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Palmeiras?
Bahia won 1-0 on September 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 78′AdemirBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Palmeiras have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ceara(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Confiança(home) | 5-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2025 | River Plate(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2025 | River Plate(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Internacional(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Palmeiras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Palmeiras 0-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Bahia 1-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Palmeiras 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Palmeiras 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2023 | Bahia 1-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2021 | Bahia 0-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Palmeiras | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (34 points from 23 matches) and Palmeiras sit 1st (48 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 48 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy