Grenoble vs PAU: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Alpes, Grenoble
The Footlab model makes Grenoble the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for PAU. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grenoble vs PAU?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Grenoble (1,786) and PAU (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grenoble have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; PAU have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Metz(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Andrézieux(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Grenoble win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 PAU win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | PAU 2-2 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Grenoble 1-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PAU 1-0 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Grenoble 1-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Grenoble 0-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | PAU 3-2 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Grenoble score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; PAU score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grenoble | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| PAU | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grenoble sit 17th in Ligue 2 (1 points from 3 matches) and PAU sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | PAU | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grenoble vs PAU?
- The Footlab model makes Grenoble the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for PAU.
- Where and when is Grenoble vs PAU played?
- Grenoble vs PAU is played on April 23, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Alpes, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.