PAU vs Guingamp: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 31Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos
The Footlab AI model makes PAU the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Guingamp. The most likely score is 1-1. If PAU wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PAU vs Guingamp?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate PAU (1,793) and Guingamp (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PAU vs Guingamp
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PAU
5-3-2- 9B. Leye
- 7H. Benali
- 21J. Benet
- 6C. Fall
- 19T. Saettel
- 2T. Pouilly
- 29G. Paquiez
- 97A. Abdallah
- 23A. Briançon
- 88A. Bamba
- 1B. Maubleu
Guingamp
4-4-2- 22B. Bokangu
- 10A. Hemia
- 4D. Louiserre
- 21T. Ahile
- 20S. Ben Brahim
- 8F. Da Silva
- 2E. Koffi
- 5T. Ollila
- 36A. Demouchy
- 24J. Dianganga
- 16Adrián Ortolá
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAU have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Guingamp have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Nancy(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reims(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 PAU wins, 1 draw, 3 Guingamp wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | PAU 2-1 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Guingamp 2-2 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| May 10, 2025 | PAU 1-3 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Guingamp 0-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | PAU 1-2 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Guingamp 4-0 PAU | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
PAU score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guingamp score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAU | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Guingamp | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PAU sit 8th in Ligue 2 (11 points from 8 matches) and Guingamp sit 11th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | PAU | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
A question about PAU vs Guingamp?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PAU vs Guingamp?
- The Footlab AI model makes PAU the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Guingamp.
- Where and when is PAU vs Guingamp played?
- PAU vs Guingamp is played on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Nouste Camp, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.