Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 7Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)The Rock, Rhosymedre
The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Gresford Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,625 vs 1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gresford Athletic have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gresford Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mold Alexandra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 4-1 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Gresford Athletic 1-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 1-3 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Gresford Athletic 2-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 1-0 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Gresford Athletic 1-5 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gresford Athletic score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gresford Athletic | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gresford Athletic sit 16th in FAW Championship (0 points from 4 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Gresford Athletic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Gresford Athletic.
- Where and when is Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at The Rock, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.