Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alyn Park, Mold, Flintshire
The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,319 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mold Alexandra
Not enough data to predict the Mold Alexandra lineup.
Ruthin Town
Not enough data to predict the Ruthin Town lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mold Alexandra have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Ruthin Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mold Alexandra wins, 0 draws, 2 Ruthin Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Ruthin Town 0-4 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 1-0 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ruthin Town 0-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Ruthin Town 3-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 2-0 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 0-3 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ruthin Town vs Mold Alexandra on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mold Alexandra score 2.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ruthin Town score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | 2.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Ruthin Town | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mold Alexandra sit 4th in FAW Championship (21 points from 11 matches) and Ruthin Town sit 13th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 21 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town played?
- Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alyn Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.