Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alyn Park, Mold, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,625 vs 1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mold Alexandra have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Ruthin Town have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mold Alexandra win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ruthin Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 1-0 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ruthin Town 0-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Ruthin Town 3-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 2-0 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 0-3 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Ruthin Town 1-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ruthin Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ruthin Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mold Alexandra sit 6th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Ruthin Town sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Ruthin Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town?
- The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town played?
- Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alyn Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.