Gretna 2008 vs Johnstone Burgh: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Raydale Park, Gretna
The Footlab AI model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 27% for Gretna 2008. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gretna 2008 vs Johnstone Burgh?
Johnstone Burgh starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,577 vs 1,365).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gretna 2008 vs Johnstone Burgh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gretna 2008
Not enough data to predict the Gretna 2008 lineup.
Johnstone Burgh
Not enough data to predict the Johnstone Burgh lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gretna 2008 have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Johnstone Burgh have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nairn County(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(away) | 5-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newton Stewart(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 4-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gretna 2008 score 1.9 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Johnstone Burgh score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gretna 2008 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Johnstone Burgh | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gretna 2008 sit 22nd in Football League - Lowland League (10 points from 11 matches) and Johnstone Burgh sit 13th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 22 | Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 10 |
A question about Gretna 2008 vs Johnstone Burgh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gretna 2008 vs Johnstone Burgh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 27% for Gretna 2008.
- Where and when is Gretna 2008 vs Johnstone Burgh played?
- Gretna 2008 vs Johnstone Burgh is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Raydale Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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