Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Greuther Fürth II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II?
Nürnberg II starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greuther Fürth II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Nürnberg II have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landsberg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Greuther Fürth II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nürnberg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Nürnberg II 2-0 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Greuther Fürth II 1-2 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Nürnberg II 0-2 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Nürnberg II 1-2 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Greuther Fürth II 2-0 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Greuther Fürth II score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nürnberg II score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Fürth II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Nürnberg II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greuther Fürth II sit 16th in Regionalliga - Bayern (3 points from 5 matches) and Nürnberg II sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nürnberg II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II?
- The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Greuther Fürth II.
- Where and when is Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II played?
- Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.