Memmingen vs Buchbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Memminger Arena, Memmingen
The Footlab model makes Memmingen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Memmingen vs Buchbach?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Memmingen (1,834) and Buchbach (1,861).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Memmingen have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Buchbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ansbach(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubstadt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Memmingen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Buchbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Buchbach 3-2 Memmingen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Memmingen 1-1 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Buchbach 3-2 Memmingen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Memmingen 3-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 8, 2022 | Buchbach 1-1 Memmingen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Memmingen 0-1 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Memmingen on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Memmingen score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memmingen | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Buchbach | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Memmingen sit 4th in Regionalliga - Bayern (9 points from 4 matches) and Buchbach sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Memmingen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Memmingen vs Buchbach?
- The Footlab model makes Memmingen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Buchbach.
- Where and when is Memmingen vs Buchbach played?
- Memmingen vs Buchbach is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Memminger Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsEichstätt
- Sep 26, 2026Bayern München IIvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Sep 26, 2026Augsburg IIvsAubstadt
- Sep 26, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsNürnberg II
- Sep 26, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsTSV 1860 München
- Sep 26, 2026EltersdorfvsBayreuth
- Sep 26, 2026VilzingvsIllertissen
- Sep 26, 2026LandsbergvsAnsbach