Match

Memmingen vs Buchbach: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Memminger Arena, Memmingen

MemmingenBuchbach

The Footlab model makes Memmingen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Memmingen vs Buchbach?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Memmingen (1,834) and Buchbach (1,861).

Memmingen win40 %
Draw25 %
Buchbach win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Memmingen have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Buchbach have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Memmingen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026TSV 1860 München(home)0-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Bayreuth(away)3-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 1, 2026Ansbach(home)4-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Landsberg(away)1-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 11, 2026Kottern(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Buchbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Ansbach(away)3-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Aubstadt(home)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Nürnberg II(away)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Eichstätt(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Schwaben Augsburg(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Memmingen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Buchbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2026Buchbach 3-2 MemmingenRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 12, 2025Memmingen 1-1 BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern
Apr 19, 2024Buchbach 3-2 MemmingenRegionalliga - Bayern
Oct 3, 2023Memmingen 3-2 BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern
Apr 8, 2022Buchbach 1-1 MemmingenRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 10, 2021Memmingen 0-1 BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Memmingen on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Memmingen score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Memmingen1.41.738/159/15
Buchbach1.92.139/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Memmingen sit 4th in Regionalliga - Bayern (9 points from 4 matches) and Buchbach sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Buchbach532012411
4Memmingen4301859

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Memmingen vs Buchbach?
The Footlab model makes Memmingen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Buchbach.
Where and when is Memmingen vs Buchbach played?
Memmingen vs Buchbach is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Memminger Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Memmingen and Buchbach

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