Eltersdorf vs Bayreuth: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Langenau, Erlangen
The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eltersdorf vs Bayreuth?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Eltersdorf (1,910) and Bayreuth (1,824).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eltersdorf have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Bayreuth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Eltersdorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Bayreuth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Bayreuth 7-0 Eltersdorf | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 4, 2022 | Eltersdorf 0-3 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Bayreuth 3-1 Eltersdorf | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Bayreuth vs Eltersdorf on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eltersdorf | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eltersdorf sit 7th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 5 matches) and Bayreuth sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eltersdorf | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eltersdorf vs Bayreuth?
- The Footlab model makes Eltersdorf the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Bayreuth.
- Where and when is Eltersdorf vs Bayreuth played?
- Eltersdorf vs Bayreuth is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Langenau, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsEichstätt
- Sep 26, 2026Bayern München IIvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Sep 26, 2026Augsburg IIvsAubstadt
- Sep 26, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsNürnberg II
- Sep 26, 2026MemmingenvsBuchbach
- Sep 26, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsTSV 1860 München
- Sep 26, 2026VilzingvsIllertissen
- Sep 26, 2026LandsbergvsAnsbach