Vilzing vs Illertissen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Manfred-Zollner-Stadion, Cham
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Vilzing. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilzing vs Illertissen?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Vilzing (1,902) and Illertissen (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilzing have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Augsburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Vilzing win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Illertissen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Illertissen 0-0 Vilzing | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Vilzing 0-1 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Vilzing 0-1 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Illertissen 5-0 Vilzing | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Vilzing 1-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Illertissen 3-2 Vilzing | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Illertissen vs Vilzing on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vilzing score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilzing | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilzing sit 5th in Regionalliga - Bayern (9 points from 5 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Vilzing | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilzing vs Illertissen?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Vilzing.
- Where and when is Vilzing vs Illertissen played?
- Vilzing vs Illertissen is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Zollner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsEichstätt
- Sep 26, 2026Bayern München IIvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Sep 26, 2026Augsburg IIvsAubstadt
- Sep 26, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsNürnberg II
- Sep 26, 2026MemmingenvsBuchbach
- Sep 26, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsTSV 1860 München
- Sep 26, 2026EltersdorfvsBayreuth
- Sep 26, 2026LandsbergvsAnsbach