Match

Vilzing vs Illertissen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Manfred-Zollner-Stadion, Cham

VilzingIllertissen

The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Vilzing. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vilzing vs Illertissen?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Vilzing (1,902) and Illertissen (1,970).

Vilzing win28 %
Draw26 %
Illertissen win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilzing have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vilzing
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(home)0-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Augsburg II(away)1-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 8, 2026Greuther Fürth II(home)1-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Eltersdorf(away)1-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Nürnberg II(home)3-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Illertissen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Bayreuth(away)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026SpVgg Unterhaching(home)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Landsberg(away)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Schwaben Augsburg(home)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Eichstätt(away)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Vilzing win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Illertissen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2026Illertissen 0-0 VilzingRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 13, 2025Vilzing 0-1 IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern
Nov 2, 2024Vilzing 0-1 IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern
Jul 20, 2024Illertissen 5-0 VilzingRegionalliga - Bayern
Mar 16, 2024Vilzing 1-2 IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 1, 2023Illertissen 3-2 VilzingRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Illertissen vs Vilzing on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vilzing score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vilzing1.61.257/158/15
Illertissen2.30.976/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vilzing sit 5th in Regionalliga - Bayern (9 points from 5 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Illertissen532012411
5Vilzing5302659

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vilzing vs Illertissen?
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Vilzing.
Where and when is Vilzing vs Illertissen played?
Vilzing vs Illertissen is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Zollner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Vilzing and Illertissen

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