Groene Ster vs UNA: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Pronsenbroek, Heerlen
The Footlab AI model makes UNA the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 1-1. If UNA wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groene Ster vs UNA?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Groene Ster (1,598) and UNA (1,646).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groene Ster vs UNA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
UNA
4-3-3- 20J. Respen
- 10B. Boogers
- 17S. Simmons
- 5B. Boulghalgh
- 8J. Wielinga
- 7A. Smeins
- 12R. Boudewijns
- 27D. Zwartjes
- 2T. Scheepers
- 4Y. Sijbers
- 1P. Stošković
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groene Ster have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; UNA have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 1-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | EVV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GOES(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Groene Ster wins, 1 draw, 3 UNA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Groene Ster 0-4 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 5, 2025 | UNA 2-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Groene Ster 3-1 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 15, 2023 | UNA 1-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 14, 2023 | UNA 0-4 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Groene Ster 1-1 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; UNA score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| UNA | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groene Ster sit 13th in Derde Divisie (9 points from 9 matches) and UNA sit 14th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 9 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Groene Ster vs UNA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groene Ster vs UNA?
- The Footlab AI model makes UNA the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is Groene Ster vs UNA played?
- Groene Ster vs UNA is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Pronsenbroek, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.