Grohn vs Union Bremen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 28Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Grohn. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grohn vs Union Bremen?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Grohn (1,738) and Union Bremen (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Grohn have 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Union Bremen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Oberneuland(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
How many goals should we expect?
Grohn score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 3; Union Bremen score 2.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grohn | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
| Union Bremen | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grohn sit 9th in Oberliga - Bremen (4 points from 3 matches) and Union Bremen sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Union Bremen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | Grohn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grohn vs Union Bremen?
- The Footlab model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Grohn.
- Where and when is Grohn vs Union Bremen played?
- Grohn vs Union Bremen is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.