Grosseto vs Gubbio: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 33Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Grosseto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gubbio wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grosseto vs Gubbio?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Grosseto (1,736) and Gubbio (1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grosseto vs Gubbio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grosseto
4-3-3- 9Lorenzo Gori
- 28M. Gaddini
- 39l. Tosi
- 5L. Sabattini
- 70F. Fabri
- 29L. Andreoli
- 23F. Ampollini
- 27D. Brenna
- 47M. Mannelli
- 19A. Montini
- 35Alessio Marcu
Gubbio
4-3-3- 10A. La Mantia
- 7M. Spina
- 92E. Baldini
- 8G. Rosaia
- 47G. Di Noia
- 67F. Carraro
- 27L. Podda
- 4L. Baroncelli
- 34F. Zallu
- 6O. Barry
- 1N. Bagnolini
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grosseto have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gubbio have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 4-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Grosseto wins, 2 draws, 0 Gubbio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Gubbio 0-0 Grosseto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Grosseto 1-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Grosseto score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gubbio score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosseto | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Gubbio | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grosseto sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone B (18 points from 9 matches) and Gubbio sit 18th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grosseto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 18 | Gubbio | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Grosseto vs Gubbio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grosseto vs Gubbio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Grosseto.
- Where and when is Grosseto vs Gubbio played?
- Grosseto vs Gubbio is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.