Ostia Mare vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 33Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Anco Marzio, Lido di Ostia
The Footlab AI model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Ostia Mare. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,028 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Ostia Mare (1,784) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ostia Mare vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ostia Mare
4-3-3- 9R. Tonin
- 10I. Badje
- 77F. Tosku
- 71F. Carbone
- 32F. Casolari
- 23M. Spinosa
- 13R. Brosco
- 4D. Piroli
- 29M. Cotali
- 5P. Giordani
- 1F. Vertua
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
4-3-3- 30F. Ferrari
- 9E. Vertainen
- 73A. Falleni
- 4E. Celeghin
- 17S. Tascone
- 20P. Giannotti
- 2S. Esempio
- 33D. Borghini
- 11O. Viteritti
- 26R. Baroni
- 25G. Drago
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostia Mare have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Vado(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torres(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forli(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostia Mare score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostia Mare | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostia Mare sit 18th in Serie C - Girone B (9 points from 13 matches) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 10th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 18 | Ostia Mare | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
A question about Ostia Mare vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostia Mare vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Ostia Mare.
- Where and when is Ostia Mare vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 played?
- Ostia Mare vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Anco Marzio, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.