Vado vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 33Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina, Valleggia
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Vado. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spezia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vado vs Spezia?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Vado (1,774) and Spezia (1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vado vs Spezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vado
4-3-3- 11D. Vita
- 31M. Ferro
- 95I. Cernigoi
- 20M. De Rinaldis
- 28Z. Hamlili
- 27D. Hergheligiu
- 5Mirko Saltarelli
- 29F. Saiani
- 14F. Gulinelli
- 18L. Piana
- 22A. Bellocci
Spezia
4-2-3-1- 9S. Mazzocchi
- 70K. Bright
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 24C. Limonelli
- 10K. Jimenez
- 8A. Florenzi
- 13M. Å apola
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 72S. Capolupo
- 1A. Micai
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vado have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Spezia have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Torres(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pescara(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Vado wins, 0 draws, 1 Spezia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Spezia 3-0 Vado | Coppa Italia Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Vado score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vado | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Spezia | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vado sit 12th in Serie C - Girone B (11 points from 9 matches) and Spezia sit 1st (25 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
| 12 | Vado | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Vado vs Spezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vado vs Spezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Vado.
- Where and when is Vado vs Spezia played?
- Vado vs Spezia is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.