Grosseto vs Vado: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 31Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
The Footlab model makes Vado the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Grosseto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grosseto vs Vado?
Vado starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grosseto have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Vado have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 0-6 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 30, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 24, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Grosseto score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vado score 2.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosseto | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Vado | 2.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grosseto sit 11th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Vado sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Grosseto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grosseto vs Vado?
- The Footlab model makes Vado the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Grosseto.
- Where and when is Grosseto vs Vado played?
- Grosseto vs Vado is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.