Perugia vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 31Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
The Footlab AI model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Perugia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,774 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perugia vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Perugia (1,811) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1,822).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Perugia vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Perugia
4-3-3- 10L. Canotto
- 9A. Sabbatani
- 90E. Vergani
- 30P. van Amersfoort
- 7A. Cisco
- 77E. Kabashi
- 4A. Tozzuolo
- 28D. Riccardi
- 11M. Borsoi
- 14E. Quirini
- 1R. Żelezny
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
4-3-3- 30F. Ferrari
- 9E. Vertainen
- 73A. Falleni
- 4E. Celeghin
- 23A. Murgia
- 10A. Spavone
- 2S. Esempio
- 26R. Baroni
- 33D. Borghini
- 11O. Viteritti
- 25G. Drago
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perugia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pescara(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 5-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vado(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torres(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forli(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pineto(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Perugia wins, 2 draws, 0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1-1 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1-2 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Perugia 0-0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1-3 Perugia | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Perugia on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Perugia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perugia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perugia sit 10th in Serie C - Girone B (17 points from 12 matches) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 9th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 10 | Perugia | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
A question about Perugia vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perugia vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Perugia.
- Where and when is Perugia vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 played?
- Perugia vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Curi, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.