Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 31Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tonino Benelli, Pesaro
The Footlab model makes Vis Pesaro the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Gubbio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Vis Pesaro (1,781) and Gubbio (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vis Pesaro have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Gubbio have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Modena(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vis Pesaro win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gubbio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Gubbio 1-0 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Vis Pesaro 1-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Vis Pesaro 1-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Gubbio 1-3 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Vis Pesaro 1-3 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Gubbio 1-0 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vis Pesaro score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gubbio score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vis Pesaro | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Gubbio | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vis Pesaro sit 17th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Gubbio sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Vis Pesaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Gubbio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio?
- The Footlab model makes Vis Pesaro the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Gubbio.
- Where and when is Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio played?
- Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tonino Benelli, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.