Guabirá vs Bolívar: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 24Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero
The Footlab AI model makes Bolívar the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Guabirá. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bolívar wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guabirá vs Bolívar?
Bolívar starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,538).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guabirá vs Bolívar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guabirá
4-2-3-1- 11S. Garzón
- 7G. Peredo
- 37T. Chavez
- 15Rafinha
- 77Thiago Ribeiro
- 91V. Abrego
- 6C. Áñez
- 29N. Masskooni
- 2J. Barro
- 97S. Gil
- 13J. Araúz
Bolívar
4-4-2- 27D. Asprilla
- 14R. Matheus
- 7J. Velásquez
- 23L. Justiniano
- 6E. Vaca
- 22A. Ayhuana
- 2Jesús Sagredo
- 5S. Echeverría
- 3X. Arreaga
- 8L. Paz
- 1C. Lampe
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guabirá have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Bolívar have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Oct 8, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 2-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 2-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 1-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 1-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Blooming(away) | 1-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 3-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Guabirá wins, 0 draws, 6 Bolívar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bolívar 4-0 Guabirá | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Bolívar 4-0 Guabirá | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Guabirá 2-4 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Bolívar 3-2 Guabirá | Primera División |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Guabirá 0-3 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Bolívar 3-1 Guabirá | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Guabirá score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bolívar score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guabirá | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Bolívar | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guabirá sit 7th in Primera División (30 points from 22 matches) and Bolívar sit 1st (51 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 51 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 30 |
A question about Guabirá vs Bolívar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guabirá vs Bolívar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolívar the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Guabirá.
- Where and when is Guabirá vs Bolívar played?
- Guabirá vs Bolívar is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gilberto Parada, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.