Guadalajara vs Real Avilés: result 3-4 and analysis
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
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What was the result of Guadalajara vs Real Avilés?
Real Avilés won 3-4 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′A. SantamariaReal Avilés
- 43′A. SantamariaReal Avilés (pen.)
- 53′NeskesGuadalajara (pen.)
- 64′Pablo MuñozGuadalajara
- 85′Q. BariReal Avilés
- 90′Borja DíazGuadalajara
- 90′Javi CuetoReal Avilés (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Real Avilés have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2025 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Ponferradina(away) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Tenerife(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Athletic Club II(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Osasuna II(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Lugo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Avilés | 1.3 | 1.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalajara sit 18th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (41 points from 38 matches) and Real Avilés sit 14th (44 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Real Avilés | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 67 | 44 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 58 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy