Gucha Stars vs Sofapaka: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Gucha Stars the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Sofapaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gucha Stars wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gucha Stars vs Sofapaka?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Gucha Stars (1,297) and Sofapaka (1,334).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gucha Stars vs Sofapaka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gucha Stars
Not enough data to predict the Gucha Stars lineup.
Sofapaka
Not enough data to predict the Sofapaka lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gucha Stars have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sofapaka have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Talanta(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fortune Sacco(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Darajani Gogo(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | Vihiga United FC(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Luanda Villa(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 0-6 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | KCB(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Shabana(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 11, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 0-3 | FKF Premier League |
| May 2, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gucha Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sofapaka score 0.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gucha Stars | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Sofapaka | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 41 | 44 |
A question about Gucha Stars vs Sofapaka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gucha Stars vs Sofapaka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gucha Stars the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Sofapaka.
- Where and when is Gucha Stars vs Sofapaka played?
- Gucha Stars vs Sofapaka is played on October 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.