Talanta vs Kibera Soccer: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kasarani Annex Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes Talanta the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Kibera Soccer. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Talanta vs Kibera Soccer?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Talanta (1,390) and Kibera Soccer (1,340).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Talanta vs Kibera Soccer
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Talanta
Not enough data to predict the Talanta lineup.
Kibera Soccer
Not enough data to predict the Kibera Soccer lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Talanta have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kibera Soccer have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Gucha Stars(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Nairobi City Stars(home) | 5-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 3K(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | Nzoia Sugar(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 22, 2026 | Fortune Sacco(home) | 4-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-5 | Shield Cup |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Ishiara(home) | 3-0 | Shield Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Talanta score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kibera Soccer score 2.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talanta | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kibera Soccer | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Talanta | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53 | 41 | 57 |
A question about Talanta vs Kibera Soccer?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Talanta vs Kibera Soccer?
- The Footlab AI model makes Talanta the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Kibera Soccer.
- Where and when is Talanta vs Kibera Soccer played?
- Talanta vs Kibera Soccer is played on October 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kasarani Annex Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.