Where and when is FC Santiago vs Guerreros played?

FC Santiago vs Guerreros is played on October 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Santiago vs Guerreros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 6Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, San Antonio

FC Santiago

Guerreros

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Guerreros. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Santiago vs Guerreros?

FC Santiago starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,803).

FC Santiago win68 %

Draw19 %

Guerreros win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Santiago have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Guerreros have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Santiago
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	6-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026	Zitacuaro(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	Ciervos(home)	5-0	Liga Premier Serie A

Guerreros
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(away)	0-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Tritons Vallarta(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Colima(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Leones Negros(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026	Los Cabos United(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Santiago	2.0	0.7	6	8/15	6/15
Guerreros	1.2	1.4	2	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Santiago sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (51 points from 26 matches) and Guerreros sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43	21	51
9	Guerreros	26	8	5	13	38	42	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Santiago vs Guerreros?: The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Guerreros.
Where and when is FC Santiago vs Guerreros played?: FC Santiago vs Guerreros is played on October 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.